Premier League betting preview: Southampton - West Ham United

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Premier League: Southampton - West Ham United

The Hammers have taken points from their only two EPL visits to St Mary's and buoyed by their performance in a  1-1 draw with Manchester United  at the weekend, although disappointed it was not all three, they can again come away with at least one more this evening. Ahead of the match on Sunday I wrote ...

Hosts have taken at least a point from three of the last five h2h meetings in East London and this is the strongest the Hammers have been over that sequence and the visitors have gone backwards over the last two seasons and have really struggled away from Old Trafford, already dropping points this season at Stoke City, Tottenham, Aston Villa, WBA, Leicester, Burnley and Sunderland, a group which includes five of the bottom seven in the EPL. If you throw a draw at L2 side Cambridge United and 4-0 loss at L1 MK Dons in cup ties into the mix, it makes uncomfortable reading and I see no reason why they should be odds on to beat a host who have lost just once, to Arsenal, in 11 starts at the Boleyn Ground. The defeat to the Gunners, who are the Irons bogey side was controversial, with United having a "good " goal, which would have earned a share of the points, disallowed.
 
The home side do have some injury issues, with James Collins, Winston Reid, Carl Jenkinson and Andy Carroll all facing late tests, they have proven they can win without Carroll this season, Reid and Jenkinson would be missed, but Song and Kouyate have both played central defence and are options. The injuries sound worse that they probably are, if Reid was available it would probably be the same starting who beat Liverpool 3-1 here.
 
The visitors arrive without defensive midfielder Michael Carrick, this has been a problem area for United as long as I care to remember, they are without a win in four away starts without him this season, conceding at the rate of two goals per hame and 7 of the 9 away games he has missed over the last two seasons have gone "over".
 

A really interesting game, but it would be great to see team news first, goals seem likely, but I feel the hosts will get their share, I would suggest 1.25 units West Ham United +0.25 ball 2.33 asian line/Sportmarket, if either Reid or Jenkinson play, I would up that stake a little.

Jenkinson did play and they look set to go with a largely similar line up against the Saints, although there is a chance that Carroll might see a little action. For the hosts,the goals have dried up a little, they miss the incredible work rate of Shane Long up front and defensively are without a recognised left back with Ryan Bertrand and Matt Targett out, with Toby Alderweireld missing in central defence, that looks tough against the Hammers, who play with plenty of width and who have scored an EPL high 14 headed goals this season and that threat is there regardless of whether Carroll plays or not. Also , Morgan Schneiderlin (pictured) will face a late test, Saints are 4-1-9 without the defensive midfielder since returning to the top flight. If he misses out too, that will be the icing on the cake for United. 

Saints have won just one of seven home starts when they have conceded and I cannot see this beat up backline keeping the Hammers out for 90 minutes. 1.5 units West ham United +0.5 ball 2.21 asian line/Sportmarket.

 

Stoke City - Manchester City 

Manchester City will be without Yaya Toure and new signing Wilfried Bony after they helped Ivory Coast win the Africa Cup of Nations at the weekend. City are without a win in six EPL starts (0-5-1) without Toure, through which they have conceded an average of 1.5 goals per game (0.83 when he plays).Hosts will be looking to complete the double after winning at the Etihad early season, but will surely.................

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