Making good decisions .............

football betting tips -

 

Results are important, not for yesterday, or last week, or last month, but long term.

I cannot win every day, or every week, or even every month, what I can do is come out ahead most years, actually it is EVERY year, but I am loath to say "every" , as it could easily change, in gambling, you can never say never !

Not only can I not win every day, I am not really even trying to win on any day ! All I am trying to do is make correct decisions, put myself in good positions, where we have an edge and the odds favour us, once the game or match starts I have no control over what happens, but as long as we have that edge, results will always take care of themselves and we will continue to make long term profits, which GOWI/clubgowi has done for over a decade online and longer off it !

The edge comes when odds are too big, when there is a significant enough difference between my own odds and those of the oddsmakers, it is not an exact science and the thought process behind arriving at my odds, is, constantly changing (it has too) and I have no wish to discuss that anyway, but I will say that I have absolutely no outside influences, not one. I do not speak to any other bettors, bookmakers, or read any kind of sports betting related content at all, none ! Everything is 100% fresh when I first write it ,"untainted" if you like and the likelihood is that it is unique from a betting aspect and I feel that gives me an advantage over and a freedom, that oddsmakers do not have.

The asian lines, which are what I am doing battle with , are, by the time I am betting (day of the game), already formed by the market, many people think that makes them "true" or correct odds but I see it differently, they are formed mainly by money and if that was always "intelligent" money, then everyone would be winning. You can see team news on Friday and kind of know which teams will be backed on Saturday and to my way of thinking, bookmakers odds are not exclusively, but often formed by the "herd", one bettor following another.  I would suggest that many bettors get news about a team and do not even fully understand what they are reading, or being told , yet make decisions based on that and these are helping form markets, that can only be good for me/clubgowi. For example, team/injury news is becoming less and less relevant in major leagues, where most teams have two + quality options for pretty much every position and you have to be very picky about what is important.

All "good" information, from whatever source, can help you make better decisions and that is all we are trying to do, winning 54% of even money bets (or in my usual case 49% + at odds of 2.20 +) will make you a happy and very profitable gambler long term, as long as you have the volume (number of bets) to go along with it. There is no need to be fearful, or scared of betting when you know odds are in your favour, there are hundreds of options every week and you can and need to be,aggressive as well as selective.

So, it is "easy", all you need to do is to largely have odds in your favour and be aggressively selective !

 

Good Luck !

 

 

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