Premier League betting tip : Swansea City- AFC Bournemouth
Dream like start to Premier League life for Town and six points from games against Crystal Palace and Newcastle United, but I think they face a big step up today and face an established top 8 (four seasons running) team in Southampton, who posted a 50% win record on the road last season against non top 7 teams . I think there is quite a gulf between these two and if the Terriers allow Saints the same space in the area they allowed their other two opponents, this can play out only one way IMO. The Town-Toon game looked and felt like a Championship encounter, which it would indeed have been three months ago and despite their solid start, I feel the hosts have to make a lot of improvement to stay in the Premier League .
That finished 0-0 and Town played well enough, but should have lost it at the end and sooner or later their luck in front of goal will run out.
The Hammers dominated and won 2-0 and it could /should have been an even more emphatic win. Town have subsequently drawn with Leicester City here at the John Smith's stadium and away to Burnley, lost at Crystal Palace in the League Cup, scoring just the one goal across those four starts. They are well enough organised defensively, but have ridden their luck in my opinion and are just not creating enough at the other end of the pitch and when they do, are not currently taking those chances.
They lost that 4-0, but have subsequently beaten Manchester United and WBA in West Yorkshire, not sure how, the last result might ultimately be the one which costs Tony Pulis his job, central defender Christopher Schindler was dismissed there and will be suspended today, he has barely missed a game in the last two seasons under his countryman boss David Wagner and the back ups have close to no experience at this level. They could go with Martin Cranie, he has made three top flight starts, the last in 2005 when he was a teenager (now 31) ! They are going to need a goal or two to get something out of this.
I like Bournemouth as a club, they always try to play football and to win games, that approach has served them well in the Premier League, at least until this season when they are currently only one point outside the drop zone. They have not been as adventurous it has to be said, I hope that has been a blip and not by long term intent, that is alien to most of the players, the head coach and club. Anyway, they have a good series of fixtures in the next month , before a tough looking end of the year (both Manchester clubs and Liverpool back to back) and I expect them to be going for it in these games. They do tend to do that in these fixtures and have won their last five starts here against newly promoted teams. Those wins have come by a combined 17-3, with all going "over" and Bournemouth leading at half time in four, we need that early breakthrough again, but a good chance it will come. The Bournemouth-Bournemouth HT/FT double result at circa 3.0 makes some appeal, but I will go with............
They led 2-0 at the half. Callum Wilson (pictured) scored a hat-trick and he Afobe, King and Defoe (out again today) given them big offensive options and ones that Swansea don't come close to.
1.75 units Bournemouth -0.25 ball 2.36 asian line/Sportmarket.