Premier League betting tip: Manchester United- Southampton.........................

football betting tips -

 

Premier League: Manchester United- Southampton
 
What a weekend for United ! They did not play but could sit at home watching first Chelsea and then Leicester City lose and both comfortably. Now three points will take the Reds third for the first time this season, they were 14 points off that pace just 9 unbeaten games ago. Top 3 and some silverware would constitute a great campaign and they are still in the FA Cup (last 4) and Europa League ("guaranteed" last 8) .
 
Southampton are 12th with absolutely no relegation concerns and alongside Everton are head and shoulders above the other bottom half of the table teams, although the Toffees are suddenly doing their very best to shake off that reputation ! I have spoken of Saints often in the last 7-8 years as having the blueprint of "success" in the Premier League that many similar sized clubs should aspire to. They were in League 1 in 2011, but had "good " investment, got the infrastructure right, putting huge money into their Staplewood training centre which is the envy of many and which has provided the basis from which they can survive/thrive, they have finished top 8 in 4/7 seasons since returning to the top flight and after a couple of back to back flirtations with the bottom 3, again have a something to really build on for 2020-21. If we split their campaign to date (34 games) into half, they have collected 65.91% of points from the last 17 and played at about 6th place level through that sequence. ITB numbers place them 9th and xP ranks them 8th, so they are clearly around that (7th-9th) level. Ralph Hasenhüttl makes huge fitness levels if not a priority, then very near the top of his list of requirements and vital to the hard pressing game he wants to play and which Saints do as well as most in the top flight.
 
Having said all that , Saints are pretty much booked for 11th-13th place and do not have as much as United to play for. They have won 8 times away from St Mary's and scored 26 away goals the most outside the top 4 . They have scored in 15/16 PL away games only coming up short at Anfield which is a game we have discussed multiple times usually along the lines of ....... that was an incredible game as they lost 4-0 but were the better team in the first half, actually for an hour or more. They were denied what looked like a penalty immediately before the Liverpool opener and had 10 shots in the first half , the most the Reds have faced in the opening 45 minutes of a Premier League match at Anfield since hosting Chelsea in November 2014. They lost this 3-2 last season and something similar this time round feels on the cards, regardless of how good defensively United have been . The Reds have given up just 20 attempts ITB in their last 5 outings, but still conceded two to Bournemouth here at Old Trafford in their last home start.
 

Both to score @ circa 1.95-2.0 and United to win and both to score @ 2.75-2.875 general quote and 2.95 Pinnacle appeal and either is good for 1.75 units, I prefer the latter given United's greater need and that I simply like bigger odds !

 

Stay safe and good luck !

 

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