Premier League 21/22........... forecast points

football betting tips -
 
 
Forecast points:
 
This is more a ranking coming into the season, I am not going to tie myself down with these and will be drastically changing some, even after a game or two, but we have to start somewhere. This is mostly based on xP/ ITB/ BC numbers from last season, with some allowance for summer transfer business (on and off field) , age of squads and length of time together for core members, the return of crowds/ fewer way wins , second half of the season form etc. It is more of a power index or rating system if you like, but is in points format, hence the title.
 
Man City 87 
Chelsea 82 
Liverpool 73
Man Utd  73
Leicester 61
Arsenal 57
Leeds Utd 53
Tottenham 53
Brighton 50
West Ham 50
Aston Villa 50
Everton 49
Brentford 46
Wolves 43
Burnley 41
Southampton 40
Newcastle 40
Watford 35
Norwich City 34
Palace 27
 
There is almost twice as big a gap between the team(s) in 4th than Leicester in 5th, than that separating 7th and 13th and it would not take much for any of that mid table group to get into "best of the rest" contention.
 
 
Glossary:
 
 
ITB= inside the box attempts, Goal of the month competitions usually feature several long range contenders and we always remember those 30 yard bullets into the top corner, but only 12.87% of Premier League goals over the last three seasons have been scored from outside the box , good coaches are known to encourage players to look for better scoring opportunities and it is usually only supporters urging "shoooooot" everytime the goal is within sight, even if there are 20 players between ball and net .
 
XG= expected goals.
XGF= expected goals for.
XGA = expected goals against.
XGD = expected goal difference.
XP = expected points.
BC = big scoring chance.
 
 
Good luck !
 
 

We don't just sell football betting tips, as you can see there is an extensive analysis behind our asian handicap selections. Subscribing to our sports betting advice service need not break the bank. Learn more by visiting our subscriptions page.

Country: 
Sport: 

Don't be selfish, share the betting tips