Italian Serie A

Italy: Serie A stats .............ITB and BC's (find out what they are !)

football betting tips -
 
Italy: Serie A:
 
Only four rounds, but I have had several requests to run the Italian numbers , so here goes........
 
Torino and Genoa have only played 3 games, Napoli and Juventus have too, but the Old Lady were awarded a 3-0 home win in their fixture after Napoli were ordered not to travel by their local health authority, butSerie A know best ! Napoli are, of course, appealing that decision.
 
Milan 42-30

Serie A betting tip: SPAL- Fiorentina

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Serie A: SPAL- Fiorentina
 
 
SPAL visited a Verona side in midweek who had achieved all their targets for the season , had not won in 7, or kept a clean sheet in 12 and who were already mentally lying on a beach somewhere, and yet they lost 3-0. They were two down after 11 minutes, conceded the third early in the second half and SPAL did nothing to change the opinion that they had waved the white flag on the 19-20 campaign , ahead of that game I noted .......
 

Serie A betting tip: AC MIlan - Atalanta

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Serie A : AC MIlan - Atalanta
 
 
These have been the two best teams in Italy post lockdown.  With Atalanta going 8-2-0 through their 10 starts and Milan 7-2-0 from a game less.
 
All season long we have spoken of Atalanta having Serie A best numbers and they are a whopping + 247 for ITB, which is circa 100 better than anyone else, Milan are sixth best on +94 , Xp puts the visitors top on 71 pts, 10 more than ACM who come in 5th.
 

Serie A : updated xP and ITB tables ahead of this weekend's games .............

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I have changed the final column so that it covers the last five games which are all since lockdown, some teams have played six times since the restart, but only the last five starts are counted to make them easier to compare.

Pd = games played.

Pts = points

GD = goal difference

XP=  expected points

XGD = expected goal difference

ITB = inside the box net numbers for the season

L5 = inside the box totals (created-conceded) for the last 5 games ( all post restart).

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