Cardiff City

Championship updated XP and ITB stats .............

football betting tips -

 

Pd = games played.

Pts = points

GD = goal difference

XP=  expected points

XGD = expected goal difference

ITB = inside the box net numbers for the season

L8 = inside the box totals (created-conceded) for the last 8 games.

At present I am undecided whether to go with 8 or 6 games for the last column, but it probably doesn't overly matter as I will be looking for changing trends over shorter periods than that in any case and highlighting those within the matchday previews.

Champions League betting tip : Chelsea- Bayern Munich and updated numbers for tonight's Championship games

football betting tips -
 
Championship:
 
 
Figures next to each team are ITB net numbers for the season, in brackets, for those created-conceded over the last 8 games.
 
 
Cardiff City -18 (66-60)- Nottingham Forest -25 (64-64)

Luton Town -122( 39-65)- Brentford +137 (76-42)

Championship betting tip: Cardiff City- Bristol City

football betting tips -
 
 
 
Championship: Cardiff City- Bristol City
 
 
The City derby !
 
Actually this is a derby of sorts, with only the River Severn /Bristol Channel separating the two cities. Anyway always a hard fought encounter.
 
On October 18th I updated the Championship ITB numbers .........
 
Championship:
 
Updated ITB table in actual league order ............
 

Premier League betting tip: Manchester City - Cardiff City

football betting tips -
 
 
Premier League: Manchester City ( -3.25 goals) - Cardiff City
 
 
 
It is difficult to see any such big value in the three Premier League games, where, as you will see, all three home teams are heavily favoured and have big Champions League and title motivation to win and Chelsea and Tottenham buoyed by Manchester United's loss last night. The three away teams all have varying degrees of relegation concerns, but know that points are very hard to come by against Big 6 teams, especially on the road.

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