Championship betting preview: Charlton Athletic- Middlesbrough and Aitor's bromance !

football betting tips -

There are six clubgowi previews today across two newsletters and you can read a sample below ..............

 

Championship: Charlton Athletic- Middlesbrough

 

Ahead of Charlton's 0-0 home midweek draw with MK Dons I wrote .........

 

I saw the Addicks on Saturday, they won 2-1 at Brentford , earning three points which took them off the foot of the table, it is hard to say too much about them, or their performance as the Bees were so bad, giving up a goal after 19 seconds (!) and never really imposing themselves. However, they certainly did not look any worse than Rotherham or MK Dons who were the two poorest teams to come to Griffin Park this season, it is wrong to judge anyone on a single showing, but I also saw Athletic in the game at the Valley and they looked OK early there, just short of confidence which manifested itself when they fell behind, losing 3-0. They have conceded a Championship high 66 goals this season , 24 in their last ten and they look likely to struggle to get back into games once they fall behind . However, the win at the weekend has given them hope of an unlikely survival bid and they are now seven points from safety, but the team they are looking to catch is Dons and so that could be down to "just" four if they can find a way to win this and points will be easier to come by here than when they entertain high flying Middlesbrough on Sunday and surely, today it has to be three points or die trying !

 

Athletic never imposed themselves and Dons looked happy with a point, Yaya Sanogo got dismissed and will miss out today, which weakens them offensively , but they should get a little more space today and there is every reason to believe that the visitors will play with far more freedom that we usually see from them. Boro boss Aitor Karanka (pictured) walked out of training after a bust up on Friday and has not travelled with the team, Steve Agnew will take charge and is expected to go with a far more offensive line up , than we have seen under Karanka who learned his trade from Jose Mourinho and is very much of a defensive first mindset, which is incredibly frustrating given the firepower he has in this squad. Agnew seems sure to bring back all the "name" senior players today (Leadbitter, Rhodes, Downing) and might even go with two up front and definitely with two wide men. The players will surely want to perform and show that the issues were with the coach and not them and I suspect with the shackles lifted we will see goals, maybe at both ends. The Addicks are eight points ( plus goal difference ) from safety, they have five home games left, Boro, Birmingham, Derby, Brighton, Burnley, which is as tough as it gets, if they had won in midweek, they would have been some momentum, but it stalled and the loss of Sanogo, who was the one real energetic striker, is big and if they fall behind today, I suspect that self belief will fade and this could quickly run away from them. 1-3/0-3. If things do not work out for the visitors, the travelling support will doubtless sing that blooming "Aitor Karanka" song non stop for 15 minutes like they did at Griffin Park and nobody needs that, so fingers crossed for the away win !

 

1.75 units Middlesbrough -1 ball 2.21 asian line/Sportmarket.

 

 

I have a couple of minutes to spare, so I wanted to take a quick look at the stats quoted yesterday, I put quite a lot of these into previews in all our leagues once we get half way through the season , that is when I feel they have some meaning and are less down to variance. I consider them extremely useful, definitely not just throwaway lines , more than just "numbers" they tend to highlight how team approach games and when they go for it, ease off, or tire/push on, yesterday, many of them "played ball" and a couple played out perfectly ........

 

 

 

Cardiff City have a 12-2 goal difference at home between the 16th- 45th minute. City scored the only goal of the game in the 18th minute.
 
Fulham home first halves have produced a Championship high 29 goals.
 
QPR home games have seen a LOT of second half action with 34 of 48 goals (71%) coming after the break and half of those , so 35% , in the final 15 minutes. This is bound to be a very tense West London derby game early and it is easy to see that trend continuing and plenty of late drama. 1-0 at the break, the "over" 2.5 line was quoted at 2.30 +.
 
Bradford City have a +6 home goal difference, +8 before the break, -2 after. City led 1-0 at the half, drew the second 1-1 .
 
Burton Albion are 11-1 (goals scored conceded) at home between the 16th-45th minute, opponents Fleetwood Town are 3-11 on the road through the same period. Burton took the first half lead with a goal in the 26th minute.
 
Rochdale-Bury is a BIG rivalry in that part of the world, hosts are 8-1 (scored-conceded) in the opening 15 minutes at home and Bury 3-8 through the same period on the road. Rochdale led 1-0 inside 11 minutes and were two up after 17.
 
Swindon Town have a -4 first half home goal difference, which rises to + 7 after the break, Millwall are a League 1 best +10 in the second half in road games and it is easy to see goals in this through the second 45 minutes. After two FH goals the 3.5 line was available at 2.20 at the break, match ended 2-2.
 

Stevenage road games have produced a L2 high 36 second half goals, Wycombe Wanderers have conceded 85% of home goals and over 81% of all goals in the final hour of games.

 

Good Luck.

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