clubgowi free newsletter ............
Sep 12, 2019
clubgowi is a pay by subscription service, it costs 499 euros for a six month sign up, that is good value anyway, but once I know you, in other words, once you have been a member for a short time, you can usually renew at lower rates and this week, long term subscribers could pay less than 1 euro per day to receive the email.
The newsletter is sent out DAILY at 10:00 UK time and at busy times there is an additional send out usually @ 13:00 and always notified in advance, for example, there is one on both Friday and Sunday this week, so the actual cost per newsletter for a full clubgowi subscriber is circa 80 cents ! It is ridiculously cheap !
In addition, there is a free newsletter sent out either once or twice per month and that is the only other place you can read free to view clubgowi content apart from here on the website. That is a way to keep up to date on what is new at both clubgowi and Sportmarket, to receive a copy you have to be in my database, if you did not receive a copy yesterday, you are not, so, if you want to be added to the list, I suggest you email via the contact now form, it has to be done directly with me/clubgowi.
The free newsletter is not the clubgowi service, but it will update you on what is happening at the two companies and almost always includes a couple of free previews, you can read yesterday's below.
The full service is not just trying to preview games, but to provide food for thought and even get the reader thinking outside the box, which is illustrated by the inside the box numbers !
If you follow the website and know the quality of the content, I would suggest you upgrade to a subscription, if you cannot at present, for whatever reason, then at least sign up to the free newsletter.
Good luck !
Wednesday September 11th
Attempts inside the box:
Goal of the month competitions usually feature several long range contenders and we always remember those 30 yard bullets into the top corner, but only 12.87% of Premier League goals over the last three seasons have been scored from outside the box and coaches are known to encourage players to look for better scoring opportunities and it is usually only supporters urging "shoooooot" everytime the goal is within sight, even if there are 20 players between ball and net .
I have been quoting a lot of "attempts inside the box" stats in the last year or so and I like them as an indicator of how the game has really played out. The first international break of the new English football season have given me the chance to look at these in some greater depth and I have opted for the Championship , the league I see most games from and, whilst six games is not a lot, it is a starting point and something against which to balance what I (or you) have seen with my (or your) own eyes.
If we based a table based on attempts inside the box it would look and awful lot like this ................
Leeds United 66
WBA 64
Brentford 61
Reading 54
Cardiff City 50
QPR 49
Fulham 48
Swansea City 47
Luton Town 47
Blackburn Rovers 47
Stoke City 46
Hull City 45
Middlesbrough 45
Sheffield Wednesday 45
Bristol City 45
Barnsley 42
Nottingham Forest 40
Derby County 40
Charlton Athletic 39
Preston North End 37
Millwall 34
Birmingham City 34
Wigan 31
Huddersfield Town 26
Those worthy of a second look with regard to current league position are highlighted.
I am quite pleased with these as there bear out some of my own thinking , namely that Charlton Athletic and Birmingham City are not as good as second and 9th respectively suggests, that Stoke cannot be as bad as their dire start would indicate and that Leeds, WBA and Brentford are definitely amongst the top 5 teams and the trio have quite a big lead in this table, all averaging over 10 attempts inside the box per game.
Leeds are the best team in the Championship through six games and most neutrals (are there any neutrals where United are concerned ?) would have said the same pre season, the table might say otherwise just now, but that is not really debatable . They have posted 5+ attempts from inside the box more than their opponent on five (from six) occasions , that is incredible consistency and teams will need to ride their luck to beat them whilst their fitness levels are so high. I spoke about this often last season, I thought the style they played and the double/treble sessions in pre season would catch up with them over 46 games in such a demanding league as the Championship and it might do so again, but for now, they are a level above almost everyone.
There have been 72 Championship games so far, in just 7 has one team had 10 more attempts from within the box, Derby County have been the only team to be on the wrong end of two "beatings", which should have some alarm bells ringing at Pride Park, especially with head coach Phillip Cocu having no Championship knowledge or English football experience at all for that matter. No prizes for guessing that Leeds have had two "wins" in this category, versus Wigan and Swansea (where they lost) and one team have come out the clear winner on " points" in three and that is Brentford and, to continue the boxing analogy, their games versus Birmingham/Derby/Charlton should have been "stopped by the referee".
Huddersfield Town have a new head coach this week with Danny Cowley and his brother Nicky (it is really a partnership) taking charge, a quick look at the table above will tell you they have a big job to turn the Terriers around. Town scored 50 goals in 76 Premier League games across two seasons, have 5 in 6 at the lower level, but have recorded four attempts or less from inside the box in four Championship starts and are averaging 6-7 less PER GAME than the top teams and issues at the club look deep rooted. The brothers have something about them, but the boss, Danny, never played league football and has only ever coached in the EFL for two seasons (League 2) and 7 games (League 1) and that at a club where the players trusted him implicitly, now he has to try and win over and impress players who are less malleable and lacking in confidence and it will be a tall order.
BTW, only one other team apart from Town has record 4 or fewer attempts from ITB on four occasions (including their last three starts) and they are quite highflying (their numbers above have been skewed by doing better in the other two) , I think they are vulnerable and we will discuss them on Saturday and look to take "them on" for a couple of weeks/starts.
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Copa do Basil Final first leg: Atletico Paranaense- Internacional
Huge game for both clubs, not only does it carry some silverware and all top clubs in Brazil treat the competition seriously and with respect, but along with the trophy comes a Copa Libertadores group stage spot which would otherwise require a top 4 finish in the league and these two are currently 9th and 6th respectively.
Atletico qualified for the final last week by winning a penalty shoot out with Gremio after turning around a 2-0 road loss in the first leg, ahead of the second leg I wrote ............
It has been a long season for these two already, with Copa Libertadores and this domestic cup involvement. Gremio won the first leg 2-0 and are still in the major international competition which will be their real priority, teams always take the Copa do Brasil seriously, but they would snatch your hand off for a single goal defeat today and just to move on. I like bets where both teams have that result as their target, by which I mean that CAP need to win of course, but Gremio are happy to lose narrowly. Since they last met, Gremio have played two huge all Brazilian Copa Libertadores quarter finals with Palmeiras and they must be running on empty after playing 7 games inside 25 days and all against the cream of Serie A football. Atletico are very strong at home, they have 75% (21) win rate through 28 games here in the league , averaging 2.14 goals per game. Gremio have some issues, LW and top league scorer Everton is out for sure, captain and CM Maicon is a major doubt along with several others. Home win.
They won that 2-0 and followed up with a fine and, suprise to me, 1-1 draw at Santos over the weekend, despite making 11 changes from midweek. That will ensure they are in good heart and fully rested.
Internacional arrive on the back of a 1-0 weekend win over Sao Paulo ahead of which I noted ..............
Inter are very strong at home 7-2-0 and need the win today sitting in the final Copa Libertadores spot with tough away trips to Flamengo and CAM in their next two starts. The hosts stats give them a good chance of getting a solid foothold in this game and SP arrive with issues on the right flank, missing both RB Daniel Alves and RW Anthony and they have not scored in two starts. Inter are now out of Copa Libertadores for this season and now able and starting to use their best 11 in domestic games, winning the last two and scoring six goals in the process. Home win.
They also rotated heavily between midweek and the weekend fixture, but not quite to the same degree as CAP. The two teams have already met here in Curitiba this season, with Atletico winning 1-0 but looking good for at least double that margin of victory and I expect the strong host to want a lead to take down to Porto Alegre next week where Inter are similarly tough to beat and CAP have not won in 10 visits (8 defeats), but they have won 7/10 h2h wise here, so their target is very clear ...................
2 units Atletico Paranaense -0.5 ball .
Good Luck.