The visitors have given themselves a little breathing space over the drop zone with a home defeat of Sport Recife and fine point at highflying Corinthians in midweek, it will be very hard for them to raise their game again tonight, for the third time in little over a week , especially given the quailty of opposition they will have faced inside four days and bearing in mind they have two home games in the next week, A-P in midweek, followed by Criciuma, games where they have a real chance of picking up 4-6 hugely valuable points, if they do not leave everything on the battle field of Porto Alegre.

It was a similar situation going into their away game with Coritiba earlier this month ......
 

They lost that 3-0 and something similar would not surprise tonight, as I feel strongly that motivation might fade if they fall behind.

 

They lost 1-0 but felt robbed and must be delighted with how this first season in the top flight has gone and how well they have competed on the road against two very strong home teams in the last week. However, their fate will ultimately be decided by how they play at home and with the top 3 still to visit over the final six home starts, the two matches this week are just HUGE and four points has to be targeted as a minimum requirement, it is always easier when you get three from the first and I expect them to give everything this evening. Whereas, Atletico might just have one eye on a visit from Corinthians at the weekend, they arrive without right back Mario Sergio ( collected 0.4 points per game less without him) and top scorer Douglas Coutinho, he scored four of the five goals in the only two away games they have won this season and lost both road games he missed. Home win.
 

1.5 units Chapecoense -0.5 ball 2.13 asian line/Sportmarket.
 

Chapecoense :Abuda, Bergson, Bruno Rangel, Bruno Silva, Camilo, Danilo, Dedé, Diones, Ednei, Fabinho Alves, Grolli, Hyoran, Jaílton, Leandro, Nenén, Silvio, Rafael Lima, Ricardo Conceição, Rodrigo Biro, Wanderson, Zezinho , Rychely.

 

Atletico have conceded a league high ten goals through the middle third ( 31st -60th minute...15 mins either side of the break, a whopping seven coming leading up to HT) of games, Chap are a very nice 7-1 (goals scored- conceded) through the same 30 minute period and this looks perfect for "in play" betting.