(Almost) all you need to know ahead of this weekend's Premier League games ....................
Dec 05, 2020
Premier League:
Tottenham 80-74 29-12
Liverpool 107-60 33-23
Chelsea 82-51 20-10
Leicester 67-82 24-23
WHU 85-62 14-17
Southampton 69-76 12-21
Wolverhampton 69-77 15-16
Everton 76-84 23-24
*Man Utd 69-63 20-17
*Aston Villa 92-72 27-15
*Man City 86-42 17-15
Leeds 108-91 23-22
Newcastle 49-91 13-14
Arsenal 64-73 16-19
Palace 61-82 18-21
Brighton 76-45 19-16
Fulham 71-82 18-24
WBA 52-99 5-29
*Burnley 45-75 10-14
Sheff Utd 66-93 19-23
Teams are in league table order, with 10 rounds played .
* These four teams have only played 9 games.
ITB numbers are alongside each team, BC's are in blue type.
For example, Tottenham have made 80 ITB attempts, conceded 74 and have created 29 BC's , giving up 12.
ITB Top 6 (net numbers)
Liverpool +47
Manchester City +44
Chelsea +31
Brighton +31
West Ham +23
Aston Villa +20
ITB Bottom 6 (net numbers)
Leicester -15
Palace -21
Sheffield United -27
Burnley -30
Newcastle -42
WBA -47
Top 4 and bottom 4 for net BC's
Tottenham +17
Villa +12
Liverpool +10
Chelsea +10
Sheffield Utd/ Burnley -4
Fulham -6
Southampton -9
WBA -24
In terms of net BC, 13 teams come in at between +3 and -4 , we should take special note of those outside that band and there should be alarm bells going off loudly at St Mary's (suddenly) and the Hawthorns .
xP:
In terms of expected points it is all very close with only 5 points separating the top 10..............
Liverpool 20 xP
Chelsea 20
Villa 18
Tottenham 17
Man City 17
Brighton 16
Leeds 16
Leicester 15
Man Utd 15
WHU 15
Weekend fixtures:
Both Manchester clubs, Chelsea, Leicester, Tottenham, Arsenal and Liverpool have all played two extra games since the international break and at least five European games this season and each has another this coming midweek. All the big clubs are used to this of course, but it is still a strain and the other teams have only played twice since the weekend of the 7th-8th of November and that is a long time to study, rest up and prepare for the next series of games and I think they have a real edge right now in that regard.
I then went on to preview all the weekend's top flight games in the newsletter, that content is solely for subscribers , but there is a LOT of good stuff for you to study above
Glossary:
ITB= inside the box attempts, Goal of the month competitions usually feature several long range contenders and we always remember those 30 yard bullets into the top corner, but only 12.87% of Premier League goals over the last three seasons have been scored from outside the box , good coaches are known to encourage players to look for better scoring opportunities and it is usually only supporters urging "shoooooot" everytime the goal is within sight, even if there are 20 players between ball and net .
XG= expected goals.
XGF= expected goals for.
XGA = expected goals against.
XGD = expected goal difference.
XP = expected points.
BC = big scoring chance.
Good luck !
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