Bundesliga 21-22 ............stats through the opening two rounds
Aug 28, 2021
To go alongside the full 20-21 numbers (see previous post) I emailed everyone in the database/mailing list the following yesterday ...........
Bundesliga post lockdown results: Bets 126, Stakes 209.75, Returns 250.87, ROI +19.60 %.
Bundesliga 21/22 : two rounds played........
Wolfsburg 6, 3-1, 3.3-1.4, 4.0, 23-11,5-1, 12-6
Hoffenheim 4, 6-2, 3.8-2.5, 3.3, 13-15, 7-4, 11-8
Leverkusen 4, 5-1, 2.6-2.4, 3.0, 20-12, 2-3, 9-11
Bayern 4, 4-3, 5.6-3.3, 4.6, 32-12, 9-5, 15-7
Freiburg 4, 2-1, 3.3-2.1, 3.7, 16-15, 5-2, 9-7
RB Leipzig 3, 4-1, 4.2-2.2, 3.5, 28-16, 3-3, 14-7
Dortmund 3, 6-4, 4.4-3.8, 3.6, 21-14, 7-7, 11-7
Köln 3, 5-4, 3.0-4.3, 1.2, 17-20, 5-7, 8-11
Bochum 3, 2-1, 1.5- 3.6,1.6, 9-18, 2-6, 5-12
Stuttgart 3, 5-5, 5.7-4.0, 3.0, 32-23, 10-4, 20-17
Mainz 3, 1-2, 2.2-2.4, 2.9, 15-15, 3-3, 5-6
Union 2, 3-3, 2.2-1.8, 3.4, 15-13, 3-2, 13-6
Bielefeld 2, 1-1, 1.4-3.8, 0.8, 12-24, 2-4, 5-10
Frankfurt 1, 2-5, 3.6-3.1, 2.8, 23-12, 5-6, 8-7
Furth 1, 2-6, 3.2-5.5, 2.7, 17-31, 4-10, 10-17
BMG 1, 1-5, 4.0-4.9, 2.0, 14-29, 6-7, 10-15
Augsburg 1, 0-4, 0.9-4.3, 0.5, 6-23, 1-6, 0-13
Hertha 0, 2-5 , 3.0-2.4, 3.0, 14-24, 4-3, 10-8
Columns are, in order............ points, goal difference, xGD, xP, ITB, BC's, on target attempts.
For example: Wolfsburg: 6 points, 3-1 goal difference, 3.3-1.4 xGD, 4.0 xP, 23-11 ITB attempts (created-allowed), 5-1 BC's (for/against), 12-6 on target attempts ( attempted-conceded).
I also used both sets of stats to preview last night's televised fixture which Dortmund win 3-2 ............
We have quite a lot of data to go on , last season's full stats, plus last eight games isolated, along with the first two rounds of this campaign.
Borussia Dortmund- TSG Hoffenheim
Dortmund's defensive numbers are a little high (7 BC's and 3.8 xGA) and they have given up 1.60 goals per game over their last 30 Bundesliga starts, up 33% from their 2019-20 number of 1.20pg.
Hoffenheim were the best offensive team outside the top 10 last season and only Bayern have created more BC's through the opening two rounds. They have been very comfortable on the road in recent campaigns, especially in terms of scoring goals, with a very respectable 34.61% win rate in away games since the start of the 2018-19 season, scoring a high/huge 1.79 goals on average.
They have a great record in Dortmund, being unbeaten in three visits scoring 9 goals and they have scored on 9/10 trips here, with 2+ goals in six.
Hoffenheim are a "lucky" team for us, landing a series of big odds bets last season, including one at 9.0 + and another @ 110.0 (albeit alongside Leicester City).
1.5 units Hoffenheim to score "over" 1.5 goals 2.60 + general quote.
1.5 units "over" 4 goals 2.32 asian line.
Good luck !
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