Championship ................inside the box

football betting tips -

 

Championship:
 
Through 19 rounds, but Nottingham Forest and Reading have played just 18 games.
 
 
ITB:
 
Teams are shown in league table order.
 
WBA +48 ( 61-50 +11)
Leeds +114 (85-38 +47)
Fulham +15 (52-67 -15)
Forest -6 (66-47 +19)
Bristol City -34 (60-75 -15)
PNE +25 (72-61 +11)
Brentford +77 (65-36 +29)
Swansea -15 (65-76 -11)
Sheffield Weds +54 (88-53 +35)
Cardiff +1 (66-81 -15)
Blackburn -12 (50-73 -23)
Hull -4 (63-58 +5)
Millwall +15 (57-53 +4)
Derby -32 (55-58 -3)
Birmingham +15 (75-71 +4)
QPR +9 (64-69 -5)
Charlton -58 (52-74 -22)
Reading +15 (44-47 -3)
Huddersfield -76 (48-70 -22)
Middlesbrough -56 (51-71 -20)
Luton -65 (47-82 -35)
Wigan -56 (50-62 -12)
Stoke +51 (61-38 +23)
Barnsley -25 (64-51 +13)
 
 
Figures next to each team are net ITB numbers for the 19 rounds played to date , for example, West Bromwich Albion have created 166 attempts inside the box, given up 118  (166 - 118 = +48) . Numbers in brackets/parenthesis are for the eight most recent starts and include attempts created and conceded, followed by a net number.
 
Anything in blue type is an exceptional number given the teams current position, in red a poor one, basically it is worth taking note of anyone in the top half with a minus net figure and anyone in the bottom half with a positive one. I would exclude Forest from that as their recent numbers have seen a significant upturn. For eight games, anything above 20 is very good IMO, any double digit negative number should be noted for a top half team.
 

These are only ever meant to be a starting point for our deliberations, there are a lot of other things to take into account, Fulham for example ..................

 

Subscibers were sent these and several other detailed sets of stats for the Championship in today's newsletter, along with some conclusions and analysis.

 

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Glossary:
 
ITB= inside the box attempts, Goal of the month competitions usually feature several long range contenders and we always remember those 30 yard bullets into the top corner, but only 12.87% of Premier League goals over the last three seasons have been scored from outside the box , good coaches are known to encourage players to look for better scoring opportunities and it is usually only supporters urging "shoooooot" everytime the goal is within sight, even if there are 20 players between ball and net .
 
XG= expected goals.
XGF= expected goals for.
XGA = expected goals against.
XGD = expected goal difference.
XP = expected points.
BC = big scoring chance.

 

Good Luck.

 

 

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