France: Ligue 2 betting tip: Orleans- Troyes

Apr 26, 2019
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France: Ligue 2: Orleans- Troyes
 
 
Orleans have lost back to back road games at Brest and Nancy and now sit in 8th four points adrift of top 5 with two playoff spots probably already "reserved" and games fast running out. They are a very offensive minded team anyway, so will be all out for the win today and I am expecting an open contest, they have scored 2 goals in each of their last four home starts, the last three of which have gone "over" and ahead of the most recent a 2-1 come from behind win over Clermont my notes included.............
 
Orleans have now scored 19 in their last 7 league starts and they are unbeaten since mid January. Only the top two Metz and Brest have scored more goals and Orleans have been a breath of fresh air this season with their offensive play, also reaching the last 16 of the Coupe de la Ligue and 8 of the Coupe de France.A wonderful achievement given their budgetry restraints and surely Didier Ollé-Nicolle (pictured) is a contender for COTY.
 
They are still creating plenty of chances, but giving them up too and it does feel like they might have hit a bit of a wall, having said that, today is last chance saloon and they are not the type of team to fail for lack of effort.
 
In midweek ahead of  Troyes' home game with basement club Red Star I wrote ..........
 
Troyes are on a roll and my notes on them from a trip to Valenciennes early this month are reproduced below the "good luck" sign off. They won that 1-0 , edged past Gazelec by the same scoreline , then won 3-0 away to fellow promotion hopeful Lorient on Friday, they scored five without reply in those games and are up to third, they look booked for top 5, but are 7 points adrift of Brest in 2nd, so might as well carry on looking for wins now and hope that SB29 slip up at some stage. To be honest , Troyes have been living a bit of a charmed life defensively, Lorient, for example, might have scored three themselves. These things do have a habit of evening out and I almost "expect" Red Star to score tonight and again, favour goals, regardless of whether they come via a close contest, or by another comfortable Troyes win.
 
Troyes kept another clean sheet and recorded a 5th straight victory in a 2-0 win. They are third, still 7 points adrift of Brest, four ahead of the team below them and "guaranteed" top 5, they will want third (it is a big advantage in the post season) but no need to suddenly play safe until the automatic spot is lost and they have the winning habit, picking up 58 points in 28 starts since week 7, which is 4 more than champions elect Metz and I wonder how many times Troyes have wished they could replay those first six games (five losses) ? The visitors have lost just 1/13 on the road, conceding only 5 goals , however, I repeat that they have led a charmed defensively life recently and also will have not faced many teams who will be as gung ho as I suspect Orleans will be at times today. Troyes have a slightly easier run in than Brest, but will need to win 4/4 and hope that the team in second take just four points, which is a tall order, but Brest do not play until tomorrow, so the first part is in Troyes' hands and they can put pressure on their rival by winning today, if not, they might as well lose. At some stage today we will see one of these two gambling big time and surely goals.Troyes won the reverse fixture 3-2, Orleans scoring both their goals after trailing and being reduced to ten men.
 
 
2 units "over" 2.5 goals 2.26 asian line/Sportmarket.
 
 

Orléans : Renault, Gallon – Cambon, Mutombo, Monfray, Pinaud, Thiam – Demoncy, Avounou, Lopy, Talal, Lecoeuche – El Khoumisti, Benkaïd, Cissokho, Traoré, Perrin, Le Tallec.

 

Troyes : Letellier, Samassa – Cordoval, Giraudon, Kouyaté, Obiang, Poaty, Salmier, Tavares – Darbion, Gonçalves, Martins Pereira, Nivet, Pelé, Raveloson – Fortuné, Mbeumo, Touzghar.

 

 

Good Luck.

 

 
 
Written April 5th
 
 
Troyes have been popular in clubgowi notes this season and kindly beat Grenoble last weekend ...........
 
Troyes are very tough to score against and have given up just 4 goals in 9 starts, none at all in three and won the reverse fixture 2-0. They are now just 2 points off top 5, 9 off the automatic spots with 27 points still to play for, they have a good run of fixtures ahead, next three starts coming against teams with an average league placing of 12.3 and they have still to face 5 of the bottom 9 and they could still have a say in top 2-3.
 
Prior to a trip to Niort last month I wrote ..........
 
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Lots of notes on Troyes and in November, I looked at how the season had played out for them to that point, referencing a couple of my earlier posts.......
 
 
I bet Troyes wish they could go back and play their first six games over, the first was alright, a 1-0 win at Ajaccio ahead of which I spoke about the make up of their squad ...........
 
They start at home to relegated Troyes, who know how to get out of this division, with three promotions to Ligue 1 in the last seven seasons, relegated teams usually lose a few players and need a period of adjustment, the former has happened, but the latter is not the case with such massive L2 experience at the club and they have spent wisely bringing in even more senior players and I doubt there is a club with more knowledhe of this level amongst their ranks. They have added or bought back to the club Raveloson, Kashi, Touzghar, Salmier, Letellier and Berthomier amongst others, they have close to 500 L2 starts between them and promotions out of this league with five different teams, Touzghar and Berthomier 60 L2 goals. They have also made the transfer of Korean international striker Hyun-jun Suk permanent from Porto for a huge fee in French second tier terms. Cordoval, Niane (L2 top scorer with 23 goals two seasons ago), Darbion, Ben Saada and Benjamin Nivet who made his debut when Methuselah was still going to school in short trousers, have some 1,000 (!) L2 starts total, plus about 500 at the higher level and I do not think I have ever seen so much experience and know how at this level, not even close.
 
But they lost 5 in a row after that ! Subsequently they are 5-1-1 and now up to 9th and "only" 9 points behind the leaders, given that they looked in trouble and out of promotion contention just six games into the campaign, that is a massive turnaround. They have averaged 2.0 goals per game over those seven starts, only Brest have scored more  (Gazelec just 0.57 pg).
 
I updated a few weeks back with .......
 
However, I am mindful of that run in 2014-15 when Troyes won 24 games and ran away with the title and this is a club with big potential and in a false position in the table.
 
The hosts have further added to their squad with right sided midfielder Vincent Marcel from Nice, defensive midfielder Christopher Martins Pereira from Lyon and young Bryan Mbeumo has been upgraded from the B team to play on the opposite flank to Marcel and has 3 goals and two assists in his last three starts. Alongside all that huge experience outlined in early season, that looks an awful lot of talent and a nice mix. The win over Chateauroux was very impressive, keeper Mamadou Samassa is a man mountain and in a rich vein of form right now, Mbeumo (is he really only 19yo) and Kevin Fortune were running riot up top and causing problems on every attack and Chat are decent and a good yardstick.
 
Incredibly, their six outfield players on the bench last week in a 4-2 win over Valenciennes have 882 Ligue 2 , 593 Ligue 1 apperances betweem them and that is massive experience and know how to be able to call upon late in games, either to see matches out, or salvage/claim a result.
 
Then, immediately before the Christmas break  .......
 
They are now 8th , three points adrift of third and if we took away that five match spell ( 2nd-6th starts..........see above), they have otherwise averaged over 2.23 points pg and over the full 18 games that would be enough to see them just about on a par with leaders Metz.  Of course, many treams would like to "remove" similarly poor runs from their portfolio, but I do think it highlights the home team's potential. Having said that, even when playing well, I have see periods in games when they have gone off the boil for 15-20 minutes and as strange as it sounds, now they are back on track, I have more concerns/issues with them currently than a few weeks back ! Having said that, they have a great squad for this league with MASSIVE experience and if they can hang in there it will serve them well down the stretch.
 

They have continued a bit hit and miss since, one of the 2019 highlights was a 1-1 draw away to second placed Brest, coming from behind, playing well and creating a good number of chances ,with the host's goal offside. Brest head coach Jean-Marc Furlan said afterwards "Troyes embarrassed us in the second half ". Every time they get on the heels of top 5 they seem to slip up, witness a 1-0 loss at home to Paris FC last week, but they tend to bounce back from a defeat and they are only four points adrift of Lens in 5th and time, I feel,  for head coach Rui Miguel Almeida to open up a little and throw the shackles off, as they have more offensive talent than they have been willing to show at times.

 
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They have taken 11 points from five unbeaten subsequent starts, along with progressively better performances and they should win this if they are to be genuine promotion hopefuls. Having allowed just 5 attempts on target in four starts (only one attempt inside the box in 90 minutes on the road in their last outing) it is difficult to see goal shy Grenoble having too much joy this evening.
 
Troyes edged that 2-1 , it is hard to say how good they are, I like the squad, but they rarely win with more than minimal effort it seems. I wonder how many times they have thought about the first 5-6 weeks of the season, when, after winning on opening day, they then lost their next five starts and they have been playing catch up ever since, half points from those games would have seen them 2nd now and the failure to pick up any, has kind of dictated how they have approached every game since, they have played them like dare not lose games and without much freedom. They are 13-7-4 subsequently, with a 35-17 goal difference, one of the very few high scoring games was a 4-2 defeat of Valenciennes in the reverse fixture, it was an illtempered affair and turning point was a red card for VAFC when leading. I think we will see goals again and an away win, three points will take Troyes into top 5 at least for 24 hours and keep them in automatic promotion contention.

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Country: 
France
Sport: 
Football
Competition: 
French Ligue 2
Football Teams: 
Troyes

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