France National Cup betting preview: Rennes-Bourg en Bresse Peronnas 01

football betting tips -

Both of yesterday's suggestions on the La Liga game were winners (see previous post) with Eibar winning 5-1 and two goals coming before the break. It is always nice to win, but in terms of providing samples of clubgowi match previews here on the website, results are not really important and the whole point of reproducing the notes, is so that you can see the options they offer to subscribers on a day by day basis. Clubgowi memebers will receive about 40 per week similar write ups week in week out in 2016 and you can read another two today, active notes on a cup game from France and a related recent post for reference purposes.

 

France National Cup: Rennes-Bourg en Bresse Peronnas 01

 

This is not Coupe de la Ligue, which we seem to have spent a lot of column inches talking about again this season, but the national cup competition and whilst traditionally this doesn't quite provide the high scoring encounters we see in the league cup, the four matches featuring Ligue 1 teams versus lower level opposition averaged 3.25 goals at this stage last season and we have two teams here absolutely full of goals at present.  BEBP games have produced a L2 high 70 goals ( only three other teams are above 49) at 3.33 per game, which is 1.07 above the league average. My notes on their recent home game with Creteil , which they won 5-1 can be read below the "good luck" sign off. They have subsequently lost 3-0 away to Dijon and their last five starts have averaged 4.0 goals and there is no let up in those big goals numbers when BEBP are involved.
 
Rennes are coming off a 4-2 road win at Troyes on Saturday when my preview included .......... Rennes are in upper mid table thanks to their fine road form which has seen them lose just once away from home and score in all 12 (league and cup) games this season, two or more in five. They have score twice in 42%, once in 100% and with Troyes given up just shy of two per game, it is easy to see value in circa 2.25 for the visitors to score two or more, especially as they get wide players Kamil Grosicki and Paul-Georges Ntep , who have 7 goals and 4 assists between them from just a combined 23 appearances, back today, but I think that we get better odds with the "over" goal line, as Rennes arrive without centre back Mexer ( missed 13 starts in two seasons, just two wins and two clean sheets in his absence) and left back Ludovic Baal (just one clean sheet in seven without him this season).
 
Now they are back on home soil where their form is not quite as impressive, but they are going to face an opponent playing a far more attacking style than they usually see and that should suit and might even feel more like an away game in that aspect. Team spirit is good, heads didn't drop when going 2-0 down there and they celebrated wildly when equalising and I mean all ten outfield players, plus the bench and coaching staff, which I always like as a sign of unity, but they need not have worried, they scored four, it should have been 8-9 and these brief highlights will illustrate that and the pace that Rennes have on the break.
 
They claim to be very interested in the competition and they made the final the season before last, head coach Philippe Montanier (pictured) has rotated the backline and midfield a little , but if anything they look stronger in those areas if anything and Mexer (see above) returns, offensively they are unchanged and the forwards will surely be up for this and fancy their chances of scoring a few goals. Rennes are very keen to get a home win before they entertain Ajaccio at the weekend and I expect them to get an ultimately comfortable one, but with both teams on the scoresheet.

 

1.5 units Rennes -1.5 ball 2.33 asian line/Sportmarket.
 
 

Rennes : Costil, Sorin, Danzé, Mexer, Gnagnon, Armand, M'Bengue, Moreira, Fernandes, André, Poha, Salles Lamonge, Grosicki, Dembelé, Doucouré, Ntep, Boga, Sio.

 
BEBP: Callamand, Fabri, Dimitriou, Alphonse, Nsimba, Perradin, Traore, Faivre, Lacour, Damour, Dembele, Berthomier, Boujedra, Begue, Boussaha, Sane, Ba, Ogier.
 
** I have had to remove some content from the post above, it changes little really, but is not "exactly" as sent to subscribers, which 99.9 % of posts which appear on here are.
 

Good Luck.

Bourg en Bresse Peronnas 01-Creteil  (written January 8th)

In terms of goals, these are the two big players in Ligue 2. BEBP's games have averaged 3.21 goals and Creteil's 2.79 to give that some context, 14 of the other 18 teams fall in the 1.63-2.26 goal range.

Ahead of the last BEBP home league start, I spoke about how those goals tend to come .......
 

These two both came up from National last season and know each other well, each will be delighted with the way their season has gone so far and already they look safe from relegation concerns and coming into the campaign, I doubt ambitions stretched too much beyond survival, so all credit to the pair. Both have made a solid start to games a priority, before opening up after the break and that is how I see this match playing out, BEBP are 6-3-0 at home before the break, Red Star are 4-4-0 in the first half on the road.
 

After the half time team talk it is a very different matter and BEBP's seventeen starts have seen 12 (71%) produce at least two second half goals, which is far and away the highest number in Ligue 2. Last two h2h meetings in this fixture have produced five goals, four (two in each) in the second period and it is easy to see most of the action here after the break.

Two cup starts since have again seen at least two second half goals and both games produced four +, cup involvement has also meant that they had a competive run out last weekend and that should give them a big edge today and maybe that will translate into a more upbeat start than usual today and that should only lead to even more goals.

Creteil are the team we have discussed most in recent season in regard to goals and we have seen a return this season to their (wonderful) gung-ho style, especially on the road where they have scored 1.3 and conceded 1.7 goals on average.

They won the reverse fixture 2-1, but BEBP felt robbed and a wide open encounter might easily have ended 3-3 and I expect plenty of entertainment this evening.
 

Creteil arrive very short handed, with three defenders in Diedhiou, Montraroup and Esor suspended and another injured in Christophe Herelle (who has only missed one start this season, a 3-2 road loss to low scoring Laval) along with several others (mainly midfielders). The five defenders who have made the trip are ok, but only one would be first choice and there are effectively half a team of starters short today. They do have a "new" player in Rafik Gérard, who  signed 18 months ago (all apart from 26 minutes of which he has spent injured !) after failing to make the grade at PSG, he has six months left on his contract to make an impression and it will be interesting to see him in the next couple of weeks.
 
Injuries, and having played a game recently give the hosts the edge and I have to split a couple of bets between them to win and goals, 3-1 feels about right, Creteil have conceded exactly three in 3 of 5 road starts.

 

1.5 units Bourg en Bresse Peronnas -0.75 ball 2.28 asian line/Sportmarket.
1.5 units "over" 3 goals 2.54 asian line/Sportmarket............obviously, I feel that all the "over" lines over some value.
 
 

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