Ligue 1 betting tip: AS Monaco- Nantes

football betting tips -
 
 
Ligue 1 : AS Monaco- Nantes
 
 
Monaco finished third last season coming up five points short of the title win, after "gifting" the top two teams a seven point advantage over the opening 8 games and they will not want to fall out of the blocks this time round and I am expecting a very committed team to take to the field this evening and one with a big fitness edge, after playing a Champions League game in Prague on Tuesday, when they beat Sparta 2-0. Nantes only survived by winning their relegation play off game with Toulouse last season and collected 38 points less than ASM , exactly 1.0 points pg.
 
ASM were also third for xP last season (above champions Lille) and xGF, but #2 for xGA and should have conceded 8 goals fewer , so we can consider them the 2nd/3rd best team in France coming into this campaign. I cannot really judge their summer transfer business, ASM usually bring in players with the future rather than the now in mind in any case, but it is hard to pick too many holes in Niko Kovac's first season in charge and he was hard done by at Bayern IMO, getting sacked just 5 months after winning the domestic double and a month after winning 7-2 away to Spurs in the Champions League ...........they are tough masters at the Bavarian giants !
 
He and Paul Mitchell (Sporting Director) were appointed ahead of last season and look like massive appointments going forward, their first campaign could hardly have ended better and after first stabilizing and improving the club, they can now move forward and continue to progress.  Mitchell is considered amongst the best in his field and has worked with Southampton, Tottenham Hotspur (both times very successfully with Mauricio Pochettino) and RB Leipzig. He bought with him the former Head of Global Scouting at Red Bull, Laurence Stewart, who’s also worked with Manchester City , Everton and the English FA.
 
This is a formidable trio and Monaco, after finishing 17th in 18/19 and 9th in 19/20 feel like a big player once again. Mitchell and Stewart are super bright modern football guys, the following quotes were taken from an article on the Training Ground Guru site and are typical of Stewart's thinking .......................
 

We also have ownership of a team in Belgium, Cercle Brugge, and my role is to support both teams. Cercle Brugge take their own decisions, but with recruitment we have a relationship and I help them. We aim to recruit and work in the same way and have similarity of concept across both teams.

Cercle Brugge gives a good opportunity for player development and growth and we see a lot of high-value players coming out of the Belgian league. We have a number of players on loan there this season and they’re the second youngest team in Belgium in terms of on-pitch minutes.

It’s the beauty of a multi-club model - you can put those principles in all your clubs and speed up the learning of your players if they move between clubs.

That is a little similar to the Brentford-FC Midtjylland set up.

When we arrived we tried to understand the current processes, the ways of working and the individuals, and then went about formulating how that aligned with the way we wanted to work, where it differed and what steps we could take.

We made investment in certain areas - scouts, performance analysis, the tools we use, data, information - to be able to work in the way we wanted.

There are many different ways to do this role. I have a certain history and have been on a certain personal development, so I have had more exposure to certain principles, like data, right back from my performance analysis days. I am very comfortable with understanding data and also its weaknesses, so where are the blind spots, so you don’t fall into any traps.

There are certain things you’re also weaker in and you support yourself with good people who can deliver some of those topics for you. It’s about being open-minded to understanding where and how certain things can be used.

The way we want the team to play is to be dynamic, athletic and to have high intensity, both with and without the ball.

We also want to be a technically skilled team and protagonists with the ball, because we will face a lot of matches where we are ball dominant and need players that can deal with those situations. We want to carry some of these principles over to Cercle Brugge as well, so there is similarity of play.

Organisations and teams have different playing styles, which is what makes football exciting.

One thing that will naturally happen is that the game will get quicker. If you look at most elite sports, they’re increasing in speed, tempo, collisions and impacts, and that’s because of the heightened athleticism of the players.

So much of that could be one of the Brentford DOF's talking and ASM and the Bees are two very modern thinking innovative teams and I can only see more improvement to come and to be honest, I would be surprised were Monaco not to win something this season, or at least go very close.

Nantes are definitely better than last season's 18th place suggests and were mid-table for all "expected" numbers , they have lost midfielder Imran Louza to Watford and are winless in the seven games he has sat out over the last two years, losing all four on the road. He has yet to be replaced, although Nantes have upgraded in the goalkeeping department. We will know a little more after today, but I have to favour the greater match fitness of Monaco to prove decisive.

They are circa 17.0 to win Ligue 1, there is 21.0 in a place but I doubt anyone can bet much there, so that should not put you off taking the 16-1 if you fancy it ,as 1.17 or so about PSG winning just feels like a silly price (regardless of where Messi goes and he has made his wishes clear, see photo)  !

 

1.75 units AS Monaco -1.5 goals 2.18 asian line.

 

Monaco were a very strong second half team last season, scoring 48 goals after the break (29 at home) and were the #1 ranked home team after the break, with an 11-5-3 record and +19 goal difference. They also played in "waves" (not sure how else to describe it) and were at their best between the 16th-30th min ( 13-5 goal difference), 46th-60th (17-5) and 19-7 after the 76th minute, the last two of which make them a very interesting "in play" option in games and their second goal in Prague in midweek came in the 59th minute.

 

Good luck !

 

 

We don't just sell football betting tips, as you can see there is an extensive analysis behind our asian handicap selections. Subscribing to our sports betting advice service need not break the bank. Learn more by visiting our subscriptions page.

Country: 
Sport: 
Competition: 
Football Teams: 

Don't be selfish, share the betting tips