MLS betting preview
Jul 08, 2022
MLS:
The last 24 MLS games played have seen the visiting side score 2+ goals in 12 (50%) and it is becoming the norm for teams to give it a "go" on the road, whereas previously, too many were prepared to simply lie down in a league where traditionally, away wins have been rare.
Vancouver Whitecaps- Minnesota United (written Thursday 09:00)
Whitecaps have been really strong at home in the last 12 months and largely served us well and ahead of a win over LAFC last time out here in BC I noted..........
Vancouver Whitecaps are very solid at home and I touched upon that ahead of a win over FC Dallas here last month ........
Vancouver were bottom of the table with a 3-7-7 record and 16 points through 17 games, but went 9-5-2 over the second half of the season to finish 6th and claim a very unlikely looking postseason spot. They are now back at the foot of the table with 0.8 points and 1.0 goals per game and make of all that what you will ! XGD says they should have been 10 goals worse off at home last season , but they have got the job done in Vancouver since August with a 9-3-2 record and have won the last two h2h meetings here with Dallas who are not the best of travellers. The visitors are coming off two good results, wins over Sounders and Galaxy but Seattle were probably still hungover from celebrating their Champions League victory and the trip to LA last weekend makes this two tough back to back road trips , it looks like (not 100% certain) they went home from LA and travelled to BC yesterday, which is tough and they are missing three key players in goalkeeper Maarten Paes, CB Jose Martinez and winger Alan Velasco for a second game running, they obviously did well without them against Galaxy, but it is not so easy for non regular back ups to cover twice and both on the road inside 4 days and Whitecaps, for all their issues, are no pushovers at home and if we look at they last two starts they are a net 7-5 BC;s and 26-15 ITB and they have created 12+ inside the box attempts three times in their last 5 starts and will ask more question of the Dallas backline than LA or a distracted Seattle.
They won that 2-1 and in their only subsequent home starts in MLS play, also beat RSL by the same scoreline and drew 0-0 with Supporters Shield holders New England Revolution . That takes them to 11-4-2 since last August here at BC Place and they have scored 2+ goals in five of the last six and 14/23 as host in all competitions.
LAFC arrive as top club in the Western Conference, but have had a shorter week and less recovery time having played on Wednesday (Whitecaps had a free midweek) and whilst their road form has been decent enough this season, since the start of the 2020 campaign, they have lost twice as many away games as they have won ( 9-5-18) and that includes two 2-1 defeats here in Vancouver , in fact they have lost on their last three visits. That all offers good value with the hosts and I would suggest ........
However, three home clean sheets in a row are notoriously difficult in this high scoring league and Whitecaps have not managed it since 2016, they have recorded two in a row six times subsequently and gave up 2-2-1-2-3-3 goals next time out and a good chance for Minnesota United to continue that trend. The visitors have scored in their last five away starts, eight goals total and have also notched eight in their last four h2h games with Whitecaps as the road team.
2 units Minnesota United to score "over" 1.5 goals 2.72 Pinnacle/Vegas Line.
Good luck!
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