Why the whole world watches the EPL............
May 03, 2023
Premier League:Liverpool- Fulham
Liverpool hosted Tottenham on Sunday in yet another EPL thriller which explained in 90 + minutes why the whole world watches this league and why television companies are falling over themselves in the race to help fund it(!)................
I am not sure what Tottenham expect now from this season (or going forward as they need a rebuild), they look way off top 4 pace and inferior to the three teams (Villa/Liverpool/ Brighton) immediately behind them in the table. I suppose Ryan Mason's aim is stopping the rot and trying to hold on to a European spot, but do they really want one in the ECL, the Europa League is different. Liverpool are unbeaten in five, scoring 13 in the last four, but those defensive holes we have written about so often remain and in those four, they trailed 2-0 at home to Arsenal(2-2) conceded twice at home to a Forest side who have been awful on the road all season and who showed no offensive ambition at all at Brentford yesterday and won 2-1 at West Ham where they should have conceded at least twice. They did win 6-1 at Elland Road, but Leeds "gave up" in that and were defending like a poor League 2 team.
Pool cannot defend set pieces, I detailed that on Wednesday and Tottenham have scored the 3rd most EPL goals from dead balls, so a real avenue to chances for them with that and they also showed in that second half against United, what they can create with relatively little possession. Liverpool have one clean sheet in eight starts and they gave up 2.2 xGA to a team for whom the goals have dried up in that. Tottenham can score for the 6th visit to Anfield running, to get a result they will need two goals (at least). Let's go with a 3-2 score!
It was 3-2 as we entered the 94th minute, with six added, but it finished 4-3! Spurs equalised after being 3-0 down inside the first 16 minutes and at that time, another 5-6 goal drubbing or worse looked on the cards. But Tottenham picked up, started to press a little more (they do so less than any other team in the top flight nowadays) and Pool lost their way and between 3-0 and 3-2 the visitors could probably have scored five themselves. They hit the woodwork three times and missed several good opportunities in a wide open thriller. Liverpool again conceded from a set piece and were also very vulnerable to balls over the top and basically cannot defend!
Fulham have had a tough three days as they hosted Man City on Sunday, they held them close in a 2-1 defeat, but lost xG by 2.3 goals and spent a huge amount of time on the back foot, which is very tiring and now they travel to Anfield, where the home side have lots of defensive issues, but are very tough to beat. Fulham have scored exactly one goal in 4 of 5 games that they have played away to top 6 teams, losing all five and the likelihood is that trend will continue. Liverpool can cement fifth place and move to within 4 points of Manchester United who still have two tough away games to play this week, with the win and that is a big incentive. However unlikely the top 4 is for Liverpool, any chance has to be pursued to the final minute, just as it was on Sunday.
2 units both teams to score and "over" 2.5 goals 2.13 asian line.
Good luck!
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